The 50km gridded resolution data for four climate projection scenarios produced in support of the UK Climate Impacts Programme 2002 (UKCIP02). There are data for monthly and seasonal average anomalies with respect to simulated 1961~90 average for four alternative future climates for the UK. The four emissions scenarios are Low (LO), Medium-Low (ML), Medium-High (MH) and High (HI). The monthly time-slice data are available for the following variables: Maximum temperature (TMAX), Minimum temperature (TMIN), Daily mean temperature (TEMP), Total precipitation rate (PREC), Snowfall rate (SNOW), Wind speed (WIND), Relative humidity (RHUM), Total cloud in longwave radiation (TCLW), Net surface longwave flux (NSLW), Net surface shortwave flux (NSSW), Total downward surface shortwave flux (DSWF), Soil moisture content (SMOI), Mean sea level pressure (MSLP), Surface latent heat flux (SLHF), Specific humidity (SPHU), Inter-annual variability: temperature (IAVT) and Inter-annual variability: precipitation (IAVP). The data are available over the following time periods using the following convention in the filename: 6190 = 1961 to 1990, i.e. observed climate, 2020s = predictions for 2011 to 2040, 2050s = predictions for 2041 to 2070, 2080s = predictions for 2071 to 2100.

The data are simulated instantaneous sea surface elevations above time-mean sea level due to tides alone (tideAnom) and due to tide and meteorological surge (tideSurgeAnom). The data were produced by the Met Office Hadley Centre, using data made available by the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) and the Climate Model Intercomparison Project, phase 5 (CMIP5). The data were produced to investigate the impact of simulated atmospheric storminess change on extreme sea levels. To produce the data, atmospheric winds and pressure from the SMHI Regional Atmospheric Model RCA4 was used to drive the CS3 continental shelf model. The data are the resulting simulated sea surface elevations. Five CMIP5 RCP8.5 simulations were downscaled in this way: EC-EARTH, HadGEM2-ES, MPI-ESM-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, CNRM-CM5. The data covers the period 2007 to 2099, and applies to the UK coast.

5km gridded resolution data for four climate projection scenarios, produced in support of the UK Climate Impacts Programme 2002 (UKCIP02) by the Met Office Hadley Centre. There are data for monthly and seasonal average anomalies with respect to simulated 1961~90 average for four alternative future climates for the UK. The four emissions scenarios are Low (LO), Medium-Low (ML), Medium-High (MH) and High (HI). Monthly data for cloud, precipitation (prec), temperature (temp), maximum temperature (tmax), minimum temperature (tmin) and wind are available using the following convention in the filename: 2020s = predictions for 2011 to 2040, 2050s = predictions for 2041 to 2070, 2080s = predictions for 2071 to 2100.

The 5km temperature time-series data for four climate projection scenarios produced in support of the UK Climate Impacts Programme 2002 (UKCIP02). Monthly temperature time-series data for four alternative future climates for the UK. The four emissions scenarios are Low (LO), Medium-Low (ML), Medium-High (MH) and High (HI).

The UK Climate Impacts Programme 2002 (UKCIP02) comprises a set of four scenarios of future climate change produced for assessing climate change vulnerability, impacts and adaptation in the UK based on the understanding of the science of climate change in 2002. Data are provided at two resolutions 50km and 5km. The 5km resolution data are provided in both a gridded and time-series format. The four alternative future climates for the UK are labelled respectively, Low Emissions, Medium-Low Emissions, Medium-High Emissions and High Emissions. No probabilities can be attached to these four climate futures – in line with the IPCC, UKCIP02 do not suggest that one is more likely than another. While they represent a wide range of possible future climates, the UKCIP02 scenarios do not capture the entire range of future possibilities. The scenarios are designed to be used in conjunction with other UKCIP reports and products.

This data represents the probabilistic climate projections component of the past (observed) and future climate scenario projections data, produced as part of the UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18) project. Data has been produced by the UK Met Office Hadley Centre, and provides information on changes in 21st century climate for the UK, helping to inform adaptation to a changing climate. The data represents anomalies with respect to the baseline period 1981-2000, and cover the period 1 Dec 1960 to 30 Nov 2099. Data for 16 administrative regions in the UK is provided. The Probabilistic Projections were updated on 4th August 2022, to make improvements to the methodology to improve: consistency between maximum, minimum and mean temperature; consistency in the downscaling; statistical treatment of precipitation particularly at the wet and dry extremes; representation of annual and decadal variability; and adjustment of the data in the 1981-2000 baseline period to ensure the anomalies average to zero. The combination of the improvements means that all variables are modified to some degree. For more information, please refer to the UKCP news article and the documents it links to.

This data represents the probabilistic climate projections component of the past (observed) and future climate scenario projections data, produced as part of the UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18) project. Data has been produced by the UK Met Office Hadley Centre, and provides information on changes in 21st century climate for the UK, helping to inform adaptation to a changing climate. The data represents anomalies with respect to the baseline period 1981-2000, and cover the period 1 Dec 1960 to 30 Nov 2099. Data for 8 'country' regions in the UK is provided: Channel Islands, England, England and Wales, Isle of Man, Northern Ireland, Scotland, United Kingdom, Wales. The Probabilistic Projections were updated on 4th August 2022, to make improvements to the methodology to improve: consistency between maximum, minimum and mean temperature; consistency in the downscaling; statistical treatment of precipitation particularly at the wet and dry extremes; representation of annual and decadal variability; and adjustment of the data in the 1981-2000 baseline period to ensure the anomalies average to zero. The combination of the improvements means that all variables are modified to some degree. For more information, please refer to the UKCP news article and the documents it links to.

This data represents the probabilistic climate projections component of the past (observed) and future climate scenario projections data, produced as part of the UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18) project. Data has been produced by the UK Met Office Hadley Centre, and provides information on changes in 21st century climate for the UK, helping to inform adaptation to a changing climate. The data represents anomalies with respect to the baseline periods 1961-1990, 1981-2000 and 1981-2010, and cover the period 1 Dec 1960 to 30 Nov 2099. Gridded data on a 25km grid over the United Kingdom, the Isle of Man and the Channel Islands is provided. The Probabilistic Projections were updated on 4th August 2022, to make improvements to the methodology to improve: consistency between maximum, minimum and mean temperature; consistency in the downscaling; statistical treatment of precipitation particularly at the wet and dry extremes; representation of annual and decadal variability; and adjustment of the data in the 1981-2000 baseline period to ensure the anomalies average to zero. The combination of the improvements means that all variables are modified to some degree. For more information, please refer to the UKCP news article and the documents it links to.

This data represents the probabilistic climate projections component of the past (observed) and future climate scenario projections data, produced as part of the UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18) project. Data has been produced by the UK Met Office Hadley Centre, and provides information on changes in 21st century climate for the UK, helping to inform adaptation to a changing climate. The data represents mean global temperature anomalies with respect to the baseline periods 1981-2000, 1961-1990 or 1981-2010, and cover the period 1861 to 2100.

The data are simulated instantaneous sea surface elevations above time-mean sea level due to tides alone (tideAnom) and due to tide and meteorological surge (tideSurgeAnom). The data were produced by the Met Office Hadley Centre, using data made available by the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) and the Climate Model Intercomparison Project, phase 5 (CMIP5). The data were produced to investigate the impact of simulated atmospheric storminess change on extreme sea levels. To produce the data, atmospheric winds and pressure from the SMHI Regional Atmospheric Model RCA4 was used to drive the CS3 continental shelf model. The data are the resulting simulated sea surface elevations. Five CMIP5 RCP8.5 simulations were downscaled in this way: EC-EARTH, HadGEM2-ES, MPI-ESM-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, CNRM-CM5. The data covers the period 2007 to 2099, and applies to the UK coast.