Data for FAQ 3.1, Figure 1 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

FAQ 3.1 Figure 1 shows that observed warming (1850-2018) is only reproduced in simulations including human influence.

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How to cite this dataset

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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:

Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005.

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List of data provided

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The dataset contains global surface temperature changes timeseries relative to 1850-1900 for 1850-2019 from:

- CMIP6 historical+ssp245 simulations (simulations with human and natural forcing)

- CMIP6 hist-GHG simulations (simulations with anthropogenic green house gases forcing)

- CMIP6 hist-aer simulations (simulation with anthropogenic aerosol forcing)

- CMIP6 hist-nat simulations (simulation with natural forcing only)

- Observations from Chapter 2

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Data provided in relation to figure

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gmst_anomalies_timeseries.csv. Global surface temperature changes timeseries relative to 1850-1900 for 1850-2019 from:

- CMIP6 historical+ssp245 simulations (1850-2019) [mean, grey line]

- CMIP6 historical+ssp245 simulations (1850-2019) [5% range, grey shading, bottom]

- CMIP6 historical+ssp245 simulations (1850-2019) [95% range, grey shading, top]

- CMIP6 hist-GHG simulations (1850-2019) [mean, red line]

- CMIP6 hist-GHG simulations (1850-2019) [5% range, red shading, bottom]

- CMIP6 hist-GHG simulations (1850-2019) [95% range, red shading, top]

- CMIP6 hist-aer simulations (1850-2019) [mean, blue line]

- CMIP6 hist-aer simulations (1850-2019) [5% range, blue shading, bottom]

- CMIP6 hist-aer simulations (1850-2019) [95% range, blue shading, top]

- CMIP6 hist-nat simulations (1850-2019) [mean, green line]

- CMIP6 hist-nat simulations (1850-2019) [5% range, green shading, bottom]

- CMIP6 hist-nat simulations (1850-2019) [95% range, green shading, top]

- Observations from Chapter 2 (1850-2019) [black line]

CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

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Sources of additional information

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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:

- Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3)

- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1

- Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo.