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Chapter 10 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 10.21 (v20220622)

Data for Figure 10.21 from Chapter 10 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Figure 10.21 shows projected Mediterranean summer warming.

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How to cite this dataset

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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:

Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A.A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W.J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B.L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T.S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, and Z. Zuo, 2021: Linking Global to Regional Climate Change. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1363–1512, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.012.

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Figure subpanels

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The figure has 4 subpanels. Data for all subpanels is provided.

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List of data provided

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The data is annual summer (JJA) surface air temperature means for:

- Modelled anomalies 2015-2100 with respect to 1995-2014 average for the Mediterranean mean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N)

- Modelled change until 2081‒2100 with respect to 1995-2014 averages over the Mediterranean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N)

- Trends 2015-2050 for the Mediterranean mean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N)

- Modelled trends over 2015-2050

- Modelled Mediterranean summer vs global warming

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Data provided in relation to figure

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Panel (a):

- Data files:

Fig_10_21_panel-a_timeseries.csv,

Fig_10_21_panel-a_boxplot.csv;

Modelled JJA surface air temperature anomalies 2015-2100 (baseline 1995-2014) for the Mediterranean mean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N, CMIP5 (blue), CMIP6 (dark red), HighResMIP (orange), CORDEX EUR-44 (light blue), CORDEX EUR-11 (green)) and change until 2081‒2100 in respect to 1995-2014 averages (SSP1-2.6 dark blue, SSP2-4.5 yellow, SSP3-7.0 red, SSP5-8.5 dark red)

Panel (b):

- Data file: Fig_10_21_panel-b_trends.csv;

Modelled JJA OLS linear trends in surface air temperature 2015-2050 for the Mediterranean mean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N) CMIP5 (blue circles), CMIP6 (dark red circles), HighResMIP (orange circles), CORDEX EUR-44 (light blue circles), CORDEX EUR-11 (green circles)) and box-and-whisker plots for the SMILEs: MIROC6, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, MPI-ESM (grey shading)

Panel (c):

- Data files:

Fig_10_21_panel-c_mapplot_tas_cmip5_mean_trend_future_tas_cmip5_maps_trend_MultiModelMean_trend.nc,

Fig_10_21_panel-c_mapplot_tas_cmip6_mean_trend_future_tas_cmip6_maps_trend_MultiModelMean_trend.nc,

Fig_10_21_panel-c_mapplot_tas_cordex_11_mean_trend_future_tas_cordex_11_maps_trend_native_MultiModelMean_trend.nc,

Fig_10_21_panel-c_mapplot_tas_cordex_44_mean_trend_future_tas_cordex_44_maps_trend_native_MultiModelMean_trend.nc,

Fig_10_21_panel-c_mapplot_tas_hrmip_mean_trend_future_tas_hrmip_maps_trend_05_MultiModelMean_trend.nc;

Modelled OLS linear surface air temperature trends over 2015-2050 of CMIP5, CMIP6, HighResMIP, CORDEX EUR-44, and CORDEX EUR-11 ensemble means

Panel (d):

- Data file: Fig_10_21_panel-d_GWLRWL.csv;

Modelled Mediterranean summer (JJA) vs global warming under CMIP5 (RCP2.6 dark blue dashed line, RCP4.5 light blue dashed line, RCP6.0 orange dashed line and RCP8.5 red dashed line) and CMIP6 (SSP1-2.6 dark blue line, SSP2-4.5 yellow line, SSP3-7.0 red line, SSP5-8.5 dark red line) scenarios.

Acronyms:

CMIP - Coupled Model Intercomparison Project,

Cordex – Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment,

HighResMIP - High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project,

SSP- Shared Socioeconomic Pathways,

SMILEs -single model initial-condition large ensembles,

MIROC - Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate,

CSIRO - Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation,

MPI - Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, ESM - Earth System Model,

RCP - Representative Concentration Pathway,

OLS - ordinary least squares regression.

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Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data

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The code for ESMValTool is provided.

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Sources of additional information

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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:

- Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

- Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 10)

- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 10, which contains details on the input data used in Table 10.SM.11

- Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo.

Simple

Date (Publication)
2022-06-29T09:49:04
Date (Creation)
2022-06-29T09:49:04
Identifier
https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/9f83afcc47ca49feb1d5702de9fa8869
Identifier
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis / 9f83afcc47ca49feb1d5702de9fa8869
Identifier
doi / 10.5285/9f83afcc47ca49feb1d5702de9fa8869
Author
  Unavailable - Jury, Martin ( author )
Author
  Unavailable - Haarsma, Rein ( author )
Author
  Unavailable - Dosio, Alessandro ( author )
Author
  Unavailable - Doblas-Reyes, Francisco ( author )
Author
  Unavailable - Terray, Laurent ( author )
Custodian
  NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis - custodian
RAL Space , STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus , Didcot , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
Distributor
  NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis - distributor
RAL Space , STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus , Didcot , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
pointofContact
  NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis - point_of_contact
RAL Space , STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus , Didcot , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
Publisher
  NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis - publisher
RAL Space , STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus , Didcot , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
Maintenance and update frequency
notPlanned Not planned
Update scope
dataset Dataset
Keywords
  • IPCC-DDC
  • IPCC
  • AR6
  • WG1
  • WGI
  • Sixth Assessment Report
  • Working Group I
  • Physical Science Basis
  • Chapter 10
  • teleconnections
  • drivers
  • feedbacks
  • Linking global to regional
  • Regional scale
  • internal variability
  • forced change
  • model improvements
  • Figure 10.21
  • surface air temperature
  • surface air temperature trend
  • Mediterranean
  • Mediterranean summer warming
  • future period
GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
  • atmospheric conditions
Access constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
Under the following licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Spatial representation type
grid Grid
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
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Begin date
2015-01-01T12:00:00
End date
2100-12-31T12:00:00
Unique resource identifier
WGS 84
Distribution format
  • txt, netCDF, csv ()

Distributor
  NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis - Data Center Contact
RAL Space , STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus , Didcot , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
OnLine resource
CEDA Data Catalogue Page

Detail and access information for the resource

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Download Data

OnLine resource
IPCC AR6 WGI - Figure 10.21

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OnLine resource
ORIGIN OF FIGURE (IPCC REPORT CHAPTER): Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A.A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W.J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B.L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T.S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, and Z. Zuo, 2021: Linking Global to Regional Climate Change. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

No further details.

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LINK TO FIGURE

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OnLine resource
SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL FOR REPORT CHAPTER: Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A.A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W.J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B.L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T.S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, and Z. Zuo, 2021: Linking Global to Regional Climate Change Supplementary Material. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

No further details.

OnLine resource
Complex Citation Object: CMIP6 input data usage information for IPCC WGI AR6 figure 10.21, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14986318

No further details.

Hierarchy level
dataset Dataset

Conformance result

Date (Publication)
2010-12-08
Statement

Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).

Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).

File identifier
9f83afcc47ca49feb1d5702de9fa8869 XML
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Character set
8-bit variable size UCS Transfer Format, based on ISO/IEC 10646 UTF8
Parent identifier
6fbf9d885b7444aba681868c4006c86a 6fbf9d885b7444aba681868c4006c86a
Hierarchy level
dataset Dataset
Date stamp
2025-11-15T03:22:48
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version
2.3
Point of contact
  NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis
RAL Space , STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus , Didcot , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
 
 

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Keywords

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
atmospheric conditions

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