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Simulations of Emerald Ash Borer (EAB) spread in Great Britain with optimised surveillance

This dataset contains a model, input data and outputs of the Emerald Ash Borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis) lifecycle and spread across Great Britain. Nine different scenarios are considered related to how certain we are that EAB will arrive through known pathways related to wood imports (70%, 50%, 30%) and the probability that EAB would escape at port rather than at the onwards depots (25%, 50%, 75%). The model outputs can be used to predict the best places to locate surveillance technologies (i.e., girdled trees or traps) and included in this dataset are optimised trap locations for 27 scenarios (three trapping types for each of the nine different scenarios). Full details about this dataset can be found at https://doi.org/10.5285/6209742a-bfd6-4fbc-9b40-29d7d75d57b4

Simple

Date (Publication)
2024-02-27
Identifier
https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/6209742a-bfd6-4fbc-9b40-29d7d75d57b4
Identifier
doi: / 10.5285/6209742a-bfd6-4fbc-9b40-29d7d75d57b4
Other citation details
Milne, A., Alonso Chavez, V., Brown, N., Parnell, S. (2024). Simulations of Emerald Ash Borer (EAB) spread in Great Britain with optimised surveillance. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre 10.5285/6209742a-bfd6-4fbc-9b40-29d7d75d57b4
Author
  Rothamsted Research - Milne, A.
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4509-0578
Author
  Rothamsted Research - Alonso Chavez, V.
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3506-7603
Author
  Forest Research - Brown, N.
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3590-0538
Author
  University of Warwick - Parnell, S.
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3039-1159
Point of contact
  Rothamsted Research - Milne, A.
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4509-0578
Owner
  Rothamsted Research
Custodian
  NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
Publisher
  NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
  • Environmental Monitoring Facilities
Access constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
no limitations
Use constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
This resource is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence
Use constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
If you reuse this data, you should cite: Milne, A., Alonso Chavez, V., Brown, N., Parnell, S. (2024). Simulations of Emerald Ash Borer (EAB) spread in Great Britain with optimised surveillance. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre https://doi.org/10.5285/6209742a-bfd6-4fbc-9b40-29d7d75d57b4
Spatial representation type
textTable Text, table
Distance
1000  urn:ogc:def:uom:EPSG::9001
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Character set
utf8 UTF8
Topic category
  • Environment
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Unique resource identifier
OSGB 1936 / British National Grid
Distribution format
  • CPP ()

  • Comma-separated values (CSV) ()

  • Text file (.txt) ()

  • Header file (.h) ()

Distributor
  NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
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dataset Dataset
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dataset

Conformance result

Date (Publication)
2010-12-08
Statement
The model requires the entry point to be initialized. We developed maps to identify the most likely first incursion point at locations across Great Britain on a 1km x 1km grid. These maps were informed by data from the forestry commission on likely entry points, and data on firewood use. When creating these maps, we considered nine scenarios related to how certain we are that EAB will arrive through known pathways related to wood imports (70%, 50%, 30%) and the probability that EAB would escape at port rather than at the onwards depots (25%, 50%, 75%). For each scenario we sampled 10000 realizations for likely entry points. These form the inputs to our model. The model is set up to run for annual time steps for 8 years. For each simulated year the larval density and tree health is recorded in infested cells and reported in output files. The model is currently set up to do this for up to 10000 realizations of entry point. The data in the output file can then be used to optimize surveillance. We did this using simulated annealing for three trapping types (Girdled, sticky straps and under bark sampling) in the nine different scenarios. The model code was developed in Visual Studio, but plain text files have been provided so that the code can be compiled and run outside of Visual Studio. The model code was checked for errors and the outputs were validated, as far as possible, against spread characteristics from the US.
File identifier
6209742a-bfd6-4fbc-9b40-29d7d75d57b4 XML
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Character set
ISO/IEC 8859-1 (also known as Latin 1) 8859 Part 1
Hierarchy level
dataset Dataset
Hierarchy level name
dataset
Date stamp
2025-06-03T07:42:59
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version
2.3
Point of contact
  NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
Lancaster Environment Centre, Library Avenue, Bailrigg , Lancaster , LA1 4AP , UK
https://eidc.ac.uk/
 
 

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Keywords

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
Environmental Monitoring Facilities

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