UKCP09 Climate projections and clay shrink-swell susceptibility

Shrink-swell is recognised as the most significant geohazard across Great Britain. This dataset identifies areas of shrink-swell hazard with increased potential due to changing climatic conditions based on forecasts derived from the UKCP09 research project. The dataset has been created at two levels of detail for different climatic scenarios and dates up to 2080. The Basic dataset is an overview at 2Km grid resolution whilst the more detailed Premium dataset is generated at a 50m resolution. The Open versions are simplified versions of the premium versions and are shared via GeoIndex. The premium versions are paid for products. UKCP09 - UK Climate Projections 2009 project

Date (Creation): 2017-02

Identifier: http://data.bgs.ac.uk/id/dataHolding/13607114

Distributor

British Geological Survey - Enquiries

Environmental Science Centre, Nicker Hill, Keyworth , NOTTINGHAM , NOTTINGHAMSHIRE , NG12 5GG , United Kingdom

0115 936 3143
0115 936 3276

Originator

British Geological Survey - Enquiries

Environmental Science Centre, Nicker Hill, Keyworth , NOTTINGHAM , NOTTINGHAMSHIRE , NG12 5GG , United Kingdom

0115 936 3143
0115 936 3276

Publisher

British Geological Survey - Enquiries

Environmental Science Centre, Nicker Hill, Keyworth , NOTTINGHAM , NOTTINGHAMSHIRE , NG12 5GG , United Kingdom

0115 936 3143
0115 936 3276

Distributor

British Geological Survey - Enquiries

Point of contact

British Geological Survey - Enquiries

Maintenance and update frequency: asNeeded As needed

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

Geology

BGS Thesaurus of Geosciences

Natural hazards
Shrinkage cracks
Climate change
UK Location (INSPIRE)
Rainfall
Subsidence
Temperature
Geohazards
Precipitation (meteorology)
Shrink-swell clays

dataCentre

UK Location (INSPIRE)

Keywords

NERC_DDC

Access constraints: otherRestrictions Other restrictions

Other constraints: licenceOGL

Other constraints: Available under the Open Government Licence subject to the following acknowledgement accompanying the reproduced NERC materials "Contains NERC materials ©NERC [year]"

Use constraints: otherRestrictions Other restrictions

Other constraints: The copyright of materials derived from the British Geological Survey's work is vested in the Natural Environment Research Council [NERC]. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, or stored in a retrieval system of any nature, without the prior permission of the copyright holder, via the BGS Intellectual Property Rights Manager. Use by customers of information provided by the BGS, is at the customer's own risk. In view of the disparate sources of information at BGS's disposal, including such material donated to BGS, that BGS accepts in good faith as being accurate, the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) gives no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the quality or accuracy of the information supplied, or to the information's suitability for any use. NERC/BGS accepts no liability whatever in respect of loss, damage, injury or other occurence however caused.

Other constraints: Available under the Open Government Licence subject to the following acknowledgement accompanying the reproduced NERC materials "Contains NERC materials ©NERC [year]"

Spatial representation type: vector Vector

Denominator: 50000

Metadata language: EnglishEnglish

Topic category

Geoscientific information

Geographic identifier

GBN

Date (Revision): 2009

Geographic identifier

GREAT BRITAIN [id=139600]

Date (Creation): 1979

End date: 2020

Unique resource identifier: OSGB 1936 / British National Grid (EPSG::27700)

Distribution format

Distributor

British Geological Survey - Enquiries

Environmental Science Centre, Nicker Hill, Keyworth , NOTTINGHAM , NOTTINGHAMSHIRE , NG12 5GG , United Kingdom

0115 936 3143
0115 936 3276

Distributor

British Geological Survey - Enquiries

OnLine resource: GeoClimate UKCP09 and UKCP18 ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )
The BGS GeoClimate shrink–swell national datasets show potential change in subsidence due to changes in climate. They have been developed by combining long term UK Climate Projection (UKCP) scenarios for rainfall and temperature changes with the geotechnical properties of the ground, to identify areas projected to experience the largest increases in susceptibility to subsidence over the next century.

OnLine resource: GeoIndex Onshore ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )
BGS GeoIndex is a web tool for professional users who need to access BGS data as part of their business requirements. The map viewer is free to use and is designed to work on desktop and mobile devices.

Hierarchy level: dataset Dataset

Other: dataset

Conformance result

Date (Publication): 2011

Explanation: See the referenced specification

Pass: No

Conformance result

Date (Publication): 2010-12-08

Explanation: See http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2010:323:0011:0102:EN:PDF

Pass: No

Statement: Following the initial determinations of the CHANGE model, based on the ZOODRM (zoom object-oriented distributed recharge model) and Future Flows 11RCM (Regional Climate Models) data, and the initial assessment of the shrink-swell susceptible areas, based on the GeoSure Shrink-Swell layer, a new GeoClimate rating for shrink-swell susceptibility was devised. This new rating was based on the Modified Plasticity Index (IP') values, from the BGS GeoSure Shrink-Swell layer, combined with the Days in Drought (DiD) values, from the ZOODRM and Future Flows 11RCM data. DiD grids were calculated for three different climatic scenarios for the years 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2080. Each of these grids was combined with the Shrink-Swell layer to produce a revised Volume Change Potential (VCP) score for the UK. All processing was done within ArcGIS.