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UKCP09: Probabilistic projections data of climate parameters over UK land

The UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) probabilistic climate projections of climate change over land. These data consist of various meteorological parameters such as temperature, precipitation, surface pressure, humidity. The projections of future absolute climate that assign a probability level to different climate possibilities, the absolute values, percentage change relative to the observed climate (1961-1990) and percentiles of the parameter projections are provided over 30 year time periods over the projection period 2010-2099. The averaging periods provided are: 2010-2039, 2020-2049, 2030-2059, 2040-2069, 2050-2079, 2060-2089, 2070-2099. Data are provided over three aggregated areas, (1) a 25km grid over the UK, (2) administrative regions that are areas of the UK based on administrative boundaries and (3) river basins that are based on a division of the UK land area based on the Water Framework Directive River Basin Districts.

In 2009 the first version of the UK probabilistic projections of climate change over land were provided. In 2013 an update was made to some of the files (version 2). Both versions of this data are made available here with the version 2 data being the most recent.

These projections provides an absolute value for the future climate (as opposed to giving values that are relative to a baseline period). A probabilistic climate projection is a measure of strength of evidence in different future climate change outcomes. This measure is dependent on the method used, is based on the current available evidence and encapsulates some, but not all, of the uncertainty associated with projecting future climate.

The climate projections report contains further details.

Simple

Date (Publication)
2017-09-05T13:03:05
Date (Creation)
2017-09-05T13:03:05
Identifier
https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/31cebae359e643ca9dbd1a8d0235d6fe
Identifier
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) / 31cebae359e643ca9dbd1a8d0235d6fe
Author
  Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC) - author
Met Office , Exeter ,
Custodian
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - custodian
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
Owner
  Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC) - data_owner
Met Office , Exeter ,
Distributor
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - distributor
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
Principal investigator
  Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) - principal_investigator
Principal investigator
  Environment Agency - principal_investigator
Principal investigator
  Met Office - principal_investigator
Met Office , FitzRoy Road , Exeter , EX1 3PB ,
0370 900 0100
pointofContact
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - point_of_contact
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
pointofContact
  Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC) - point_of_contact
Met Office , Exeter ,
Publisher
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - publisher
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
Maintenance and update frequency
notPlanned Not planned
Update scope
dataset Dataset
Keywords
  • UKCP09
  • UK
  • probabilistic
  • climate projections
  • land
GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
  • atmospheric conditions
Access constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
Access to these data is available to any registered CEDA user. Please Login or Register for a CEDA account to gain access.
Use constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
Under the following licence http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Spatial representation type
grid Grid
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
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Begin date
2010-01-01T00:00:00
End date
2099-12-31T23:59:59
Unique resource identifier
WGS 84
Distribution format
  • The data are provided in NetCDF format and adhere to version 1.0 of the CF conventions. ()

Distributor
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - Data Center Contact
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
OnLine resource
CEDA Data Catalogue Page

Detail and access information for the resource

OnLine resource
DOWNLOAD

Download Data

OnLine resource
UKCP09 archive overview

No further details.

OnLine resource
Climate projections report

No further details.

OnLine resource
UK climate projections website

No further details.

OnLine resource
UKCP09 climate projections response

No further details.

OnLine resource
UKCP09 climate projections review

No further details.

Hierarchy level
dataset Dataset

Conformance result

Date (Publication)
2010-12-08
Statement
Original data were produced by the Met Office as part of the UKCP09 service before preparation for archival with CEDA. No data has been altered during archival, however the directory structure of the two versions of this dataset were modified by CEDA during the archival process to provide a clear directory structure.
File identifier
31cebae359e643ca9dbd1a8d0235d6fe XML
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Character set
8-bit variable size UCS Transfer Format, based on ISO/IEC 10646 UTF8
Parent identifier
UKCP09: Land and marine past climate and future scenario projections data for the UK 094d9c9b9dda42c0aa1a1848af9fb56b
Hierarchy level
dataset Dataset
Date stamp
2025-11-15T03:14:32
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version
2.3
Point of contact
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
 
 

Overviews

Spatial extent

N
S
E
W
thumbnail


Keywords

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
atmospheric conditions

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