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  • Under the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), the Working Group on Cloupled Modelling (WGCM) established the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) as a standard experimental protocol for studying the output of coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs). CMIP provides a community-based infrastructure in support of climate model diagnosis, validation, intercomparison, documentation and data access. This framework enables a diverse community of scientists to analyze GCMs in a systematic fashion, a process which serves to facilitate model improvement. The Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI) archives much of the CMIP data. Part of the CMIP archive constitutes phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3), a collection of climate model output from simulations of the past, present and future climate. This unprecedented collection of recent model output is officially known as the "WCRP CMIP3 multi-model dataset". It is meant to serve the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s Working Group 1, which focuses on the physical climate system -- atmosphere, land surface, ocean and sea ice -- and the choice of variables archived reflects this focus. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was established by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environmental Program to assess scientific information on climate change. The IPCC publishes reports that summarize the state of the science. The research based on this dataset provided much of the new material underlying the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4).

  • This dataset contains output data from a number of models associated with the IPCC Third Assessment Report. This data was processed at the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia. The data extraction was intended for use by the Climate Impacts Community (and was funded by the UK Department of Environment Food and Rural Affairs, Defra). Data from various modelling centres and models: CCCMA, CSIRO, ECHAM4, GFDL99, HADCM3, NIES99.

  • Data used in Climate Change 2001, the Third Assessment Report (TAR) of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Simulations of global climate models were run by various climate modelling groups coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) on behalf of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climatology data calculated from global climate model simulations of experiments representative of Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) scenarios: A1F, A1T, A1a, A2a, A2b, A2c, B1a, B2b. The climatologies are 30-year averages. Climate anomalies are expressed relative to the period 1961-1990. The monthly climatology data covers the period from 1961-2100. The climatologies are of global scope and are provided on latitude-longitude grids.

  • Data used in Climate Change 2001, the Third Assessment Report (TAR) of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Simulations of global climate models were run by various climate modelling groups coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) on behalf of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climatology data calculated from global climate model simulations of experiments representative of Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) scenarios: A1F, A1T, A1a, A2a, A2b, A2c, B1a, B2b. The climatologies are 30-year averages. Climate anomalies are expressed relative to the period 1961-1990. The monthly climatology data covers the period from 1961-2100. The climatologies are of global scope and are provided on latitude-longitude grids.

  • Data for Figure 3.25 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.25 shows CMIP6 potential temperature and salinity biases for the global ocean, Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- There are panels (a), (b), (c), (d), (e), (f), (g), (h). The data is in respective subdirectories. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- The dataset contains modelled and observational ocean data (1981-2010) for different ocean basins (global, Atlantic, Pacific, Indian):  - Potential temperature from WOA18 observations - Salinity from WOA18 observations - Potential temperature bias (CMIP6 - WOA18) - Salinity bias (CMIP6 - WOA18) --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a - panel_a/potential_temperature_bias_global_panel_a.nc: data for colored filled contours showing temperature bias from 1981 to 2010 - panel_a/WOA_potential_temperature_global_panel_a.nc: data for black contours showing WOA18 temperature from 1981 to 2010 Panel b - panel_b/salinity_bias_global_panel_b.nc:  data for colored filled contours showing salinity bias from 1981 to 2010 - panel_b/WOA_salinity_global_panel_b.nc: data for black contours showing WOA18 salinity from 1981 to 2010 Panel c - panel_c/potential_temperature_bias_atlantic_panel_c.nc: data for colored filled contours showing temperature bias from 1981 to 2010 - panel_c/WOA_potential_temperature_atlantic_panel_c.nc: data for black contours showing WOA18 temperature from 1981 to 2010 Panel d - panel_d/salinity_bias_atlantic_panel_d.nc: data for colored filled contours showing salinity bias from 1981 to 2010 - panel_d/WOA_salinity_atlantic_panel_d.nc: data for black contours showing WOA18 salinity from 1981 to 2010 Panel e - panel_e/potential_temperature_bias_pacific_panel_e.nc: data for colored filled contours showing temperature bias from 1981 to 2010 - panel_e/WOA_potential_temperature_pacific_panel_e.nc:  data for black contours showing WOA18 temperature from 1981 to 2010 Panel f - panel_f/salinity_bias_pacific_panel_f.nc: data for colored filled contours showing salinity bias from 1981 to 2010 - panel_f/WOA_salinity_pacific_panel_f.nc:  data for black contours showing WOA18 salinity from 1981 to 2010 Panel g - panel_g/potential_temperature_bias_indian_panel_g.nc: data for colored filled contours showing temperature bias from 1981 to 2010 - panel_g/WOA_potential_temperature_indian_panel_g.nc:  data for black contours showing WOA18 temperature from 1981 to 2010 Panel h - panel_h/salinity_bias_indian_panel_h.nc: data for colored filled contours showing salinity bias from 1981 to 2010 - panel_h/WOA_salinity_indian_panel_h.nc:  data for black contours showing WOA18 salinity from 1981 to 2010 CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo.

  • Data for Figure SPM.1 from the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure SPM.1 shows global temperature history and causes of recent warming. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. In Press. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has two panels, with data provided for all panels in subdirectories named panel_a and panel_b. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- Panel a The dataset contains: - Estimated temperature during the warmest multi-century period in at least the last 100,000 years, which occurred around 6500 years ago (4500 BCE), multi-centennial average, from AR6 WGI Chapter 2 - Global surface temperature change time series relative to 1850-1900 for 1-2020 from: • 1-2000 CE reconstruction from paleoclimate archives, decadal smoothed, from PAGES2k Consortium (2019, DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0400-0) • 1850-2020 CE, observations, decadal smoothed, from AR6 WGI Chapter 2 assessed mean Panel b: The dataset contains global surface temperature change time series relative to 1850-1900 for 1850-2020 from simulations from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and observations: - CMIP6 historical+ssp245 simulations (simulations with human and natural forcing, 1850-2019) - CMIP6 hist-nat simulations (simulations with natural forcing, 1850-2019) - Global Surface Temperature Anomalies (GSTA) relative to 1850-1900 from observations assessed in IPCC AR6 WG1 Chapter 2 (1850-2020) --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - panel_a/SPM1_1-2000_recon.txt, 1-2000 time series, decadal smoothed, for years centered on 5-1996 CE [column 1 grey line, columns 2 and 3 grey shading] - panel_a/SPM1_1850-2020_obs.txt, 1850-2020 time series, decadal smoothed, for years centered on 1855-2016 CE [black line] - panel_a/SPM1_6500_recon.txt, bar for the warmest multi-century period in more than 100,000 years (around 6500 years ago: 4500 BCE) [grey bar] Panel b: - panel_b/gmst_changes_model_and_obs.csv. Global surface temperature change time series relative to 1850-1900 for 1850-2020 from: • CMIP6 historical+ssp245 simulations (1850-2019) [mean, brown line] • CMIP6 historical+ssp245 simulations (1850-2019) [5% range, brown shading, bottom] • CMIP6 historical+ssp245 simulations (1850-2019) [95% range, brown shading, top] • CMIP6 hist-nat simulations (1850-2019) [mean, green line] • CMIP6 hist-nat simulations (1850-2019) [5% range, green shading, bottom] • CMIP6 hist-nat simulations (1850-2019) [95% range, green shading, top] • Global Surface Temperature Anomalies (GSTA) relative to 1850-1900 from observations assessed in IPCC AR6 WG1 Chapter 2 (1850-2020) [black line] --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report webpage, which includes the report component containing the figure (Summary for Policymakers), the Technical Summary (Cross-Section Box TS.1, Figure 1a) and the Supplementary Material for Chapters 2 and 3, which contains details on the input data used in Tables 2.SM.1 (Figure 2.11a) and 3.SM.1 (Figure 3.2c; FAQ 3.1, Figure 1). - Link to related publication for input data

  • Data for Figure 3.30 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.30 shows observed and CMIP6 simulated AMOC mean state, variability and long-term trends. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has 6 subpanels with data provided for all panels in subdirectories named panel_a, panel_b, panel_c, panel_d, panel_e and panel_f. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains:  - AMOC streamfunction profiles from CMIP5 (1860-2004) and CMIP6 (1860-2014) historical simulations - AMOC mean maximum overturning depth from CMIP5 (1860-2004) and CMIP6 (1860-2014) historical simulations - AMOC mean maximum overturning depth from RAPID observational dataset (2004-2018) - AMOC mean maximum overturning streamfunction from CMIP5 (1860-2004) and CMIP6 (1860-2014) historical simulations - AMOC mean maximum overturning streamfunction from RAPID observational dataset (2004-2018) - AMOC 8-year trends from CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations and RAPID observations (2004-2012) - Interannual AMOC changes from CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations and RAPID observations (2008-2010) - Longterm AMOC trends (1850-2014) from CMIP6 simulations - Longterm AMOC trends (1940-1985) from CMIP6 simulations - Longterm AMOC trends (1985-2014) from CMIP6 simulations --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- - panel_a/amoc_mean_state_boxes.csv has the data for the grey observations lines and blue and red boxes with whiskers - panel_a/amoc_profiles_shadings.csv has data for the blue and red profile shadings. - panel_a/amoc_profile_cmip5.csv has data for the blue profile - panel_a/amoc_profile_cmip6.csv has data for the red profile - panel_b/amoc_trends_2004_2012.csv has data for boxes and whiskers and outlier dots - panel_b/amoc_trends_cmip5_cmip6_additional_outliers.csv has data for additional outlier dots for CMIP5 and CMIP6 - panel_c/interannual_variability_AMOC.csv has data for boxes and whiskers and outlier dots - panel_c/interannual_variability_AMOC_cmip5_cmip6_additional_outliers.csv has data for additional outlier dots for CMIP5 and CMIP6 - panel_d/amoc_longtern_trend_1850_2014.csv has data for grey, green, blue and orange boxes and whiskers - panel_e/amoc_longtern_trend_1940_1985.csv has data for grey, green, blue and orange boxes and whiskers - panel_f/amoc_longtern_trend_1985_2014.csv has data for grey, green, blue and orange boxes and whiskers CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. AMOC is the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

  • Data for Figure 3.39 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.39 shows the observed and simulated Pacific Decadal Variability (PDV). --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has six panels. Files are not separated according to the panels. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- pdv.obs.nc contains - Observed SST anomalies associated with the PDV pattern - Observed PDV index time series (unfiltered) - Observed PDV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the observed PDV patterns - Statistical significance of the observed SST anomalies associated with the PDV pattern pdv.hist.cmip6.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the PDV pattern - Simulated PDV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated PDV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated PDV patterns based on CMIP6 historical simulations. pdv.hist.cmip5.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the PDV pattern - Simulated PDV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated PDV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated PDV patterns based on CMIP5 historical simulations. pdv.piControl.cmip6.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the PDV pattern - Simulated PDV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated PDV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated PDV patterns based on CMIP6 piControl simulations. pdv.piControl.cmip5.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the PDV pattern - Simulated PDV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated PDV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated PDV patterns based on CMIP5 piControl simulations. --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - ipo_pattern_obs_ref in pdv.obs.nc: shading - ipo_pattern_obs_signif (dataset = 1) in pdv.obs.nc: cross markers Panel b: - Multimodel ensemble mean of ipo_model_pattern in pdv.hist.cmip6.nc: shading, with their sign agreement for hatching Panel c: - tay_stats (stat = 0, 1) in pdv.obs.nc: black dots - tay_stats (stat = 0, 1) in pdv.hist.cmip6.nc: red crosses, and their multimodel ensemble mean for the red dot - tay_stats (stat = 0, 1) in pdv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue crosses, and their multimodel ensemble mean for the blue dot Panel d: - Lag-1 autocorrelation of tpi in pdv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in left . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of tpi in pdv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of tpi in pdv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of tpi in pdv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of tpi in pdv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the left - Lag-10 autocorrelation of tpi_lp in pdv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in right . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of tpi_lp in pdv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of tpi_lp in pdv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of tpi_lp in pdv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of tpi_lp in pdv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the right Panel e: - Standard deviation of tpi in pdv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in left . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of tpi in pdv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of tpi in pdv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of tpi in pdv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of tpi in pdv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the left - Standard deviation of tpi_lp in pdv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in right . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of tpi_lp in pdv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of tpi_lp in pdv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of tpi_lp in pdv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of tpi_lp in pdv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the right Panel f: - tpi_lp in pdv.obs.nc: black curves . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - tpi_lp in pdv.hist.cmip6.nc: 5th-95th percentiles in red shading, multimodel ensemble mean and its 5-95% confidence interval for red curves - tpi_lp in pdv.hist.cmip5.nc: 5th-95th percentiles in blue shading, multimodel ensemble mean for blue curve CMIP5 is the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. SST stands for Sea Surface Temperature. --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Multimodel ensemble means and percentiles of historical simulations of CMIP5 and CMIP6 are calculated after weighting individual members with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model. ensemble_assign in each file provides the model number to which each ensemble member belongs. This weighting does not apply to the sign agreement calculation. piControl simulations from CMIP5 and CMIP6 consist of a single member from each model, so the weighting is not applied. Multimodel ensemble means of the pattern correlation in Taylor statistics in (c) and the autocorrelation of the index in (d) are calculated via Fisher z-transformation and back transformation. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

  • Data for Figure SPM.3 from the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure SPM.3 shows the synthesis of assessed observed and attributable regional changes in hot extremes, heavy precipitation and agricultural and ecological droughts and confidence in human contribution to the observed changes in the world’s regions. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3−32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has three panels, with data provided for all panels in subdirectories named panel_a, panel_b and panel_c. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: Synthesis of assessment of observed change in hot extremes and confidence in human contribution to the observed changes in the AR6 land-regions, excluding Antarctica. Panel b: Synthesis of assessment of observed change in heavy precipitation and confidence in human contribution to the observed changes in the AR6 land-regions, excluding Antarctica. Panel c: Synthesis of assessment of observed change in agricultural and ecological drought and confidence in human contribution to the observed changes in the AR6 land-regions, excluding Antarctica. --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- · Data file: panel_a/SPM3_panel_a.csv (AR6 world regions, observed change in hot extremes, confidence in human contribution); middle entry relates to the colour of the map, showing [increase] (red), [decrease](blue),[low agreement in type of change](white/grey),[limited data and/or literature](grey) . · Data file: panel_b/SPM3_panel_b.csv (AR6 world regions, observed change in heavy precipitation, confidence in human contribution); middle entry relates to the colour of the map, showing [increase] (green), [decrease](yellow),[low agreement in type of change](white/grey),[limited data and/or literature](grey) . · Data file: panel_c/SPM3_panel_c.csv (AR6 world regions, observed change in agricultural and ecological drought, confidence in human contribution); middle entry relates to the colour of the map, showing [increase] (yellow), [decrease](green),[low agreement in type of change](white/grey),[limited data and/or literature](grey) --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The data in the files is an assessment of section 11.9 in chapter 11 that is provided in the second first two columns of the tables in that section.

  • Data for Figure 3.40 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.40 shows the observed and simulated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV). --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has six panels. Files are not separated according to the panels. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- amv.obs.nc contains - Observed SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Observed AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Observed AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the observed AMV patterns amv.hist.cmip6.nc contains - Statistical significance of the observed SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated AMV patterns based on CMIP6 historical simulations. amv.hist.cmip5.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated AMV patterns based on CMIP5 historical simulations. amv.piControl.cmip6.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated AMV patterns based on CMIP6 piControl simulations. amv.piControl.cmip5.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated AMV patterns based on CMIP5 piControl simulations. --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - amv_pattern_obs_ref in amv.obs.nc: shading - amv_pattern_obs_signif (dataset = 1) in amv.obs.nc: cross markers Panel b: - Multimodel ensemble mean of amv_pattern in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: shading, with their sign agreement for hatching Panel c: - tay_stats (stat = 0, 1) in amv.obs.nc: black dots - tay_stats (stat = 0, 1) in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red crosses, and their multimodel ensemble mean for the red dot - tay_stats (stat = 0, 1) in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue crosses, and their multimodel ensemble mean for the blue dot Panel d: - Lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in left . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the left - Lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in right . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the right Panel e: - Standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in left . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the left - Standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in right . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the right Panel f: - amv_timeseries in amv.obs.nc: black curves . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: 5th-95th percentiles in red shading, multimodel ensemble mean and its 5-95% confidence interval for red curves - amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: 5th-95th percentiles in blue shading, multimodel ensemble mean for blue curve CMIP5 is the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. SST stands for Sea Surface Temperature. --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Multimodel ensemble means and percentiles of historical simulations of CMIP5 and CMIP6 are calculated after weighting individual members with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model. ensemble_assign in each file provides the model number to which each ensemble member belongs. This weighting does not apply to the sign agreement calculation. piControl simulations from CMIP5 and CMIP6 consist of a single member from each model, so the weighting is not applied. Multimodel ensemble means of the pattern correlation in Taylor statistics in (c) and the autocorrelation of the index in (d) are calculated via Fisher z-transformation and back transformation. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website