CMIP5
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This dataset comprises summary statistics regarding historical and projected Southern Hemisphere total sea ice area (SIA) and 21st century global temperature change (dTAS), evaluated from the multi-model ensembles contributing to CMIP5 and CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phases 5 and 6). The metrics are evaluated for two climatological periods (1979-2014 and 2081-2100) from a number of CMIP experiments; historical, and ScenarioMIP or RCP runs. These metrics were calculated to calculate projections of future Antarctic sea ice loss, and drivers of ensemble spread in this variable, for Holmes et al. (2022) "Antarctic sea ice projections constrained by historical ice cover and future global temperature change". Funding was provided by the British Antarctic Survey Polar Science for Planet Earth Programme and under NERC large grant NE/N01829X/1
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The UKCP18 worldwide sea level projections are provided for the tide gauge locations presented in Palmer et al (2020). They follow the same methods as the UK projections with the exceptions that make use of globally complete GIA estimates and a larger set of GRD fingerprints. The data consist of annual time series of the projected change in the time-mean coastal water level relative to the average value for the period 1986-2005, consistent with the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) and the Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate. Projections are available for the RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate change scenarios (Meinshausen et al, 2011). The 5th, 50th and 95th percentile projections are provided for the total sea level change and the individual components. Further details are available in Palmer et al (2020), https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019EF001413
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WCRP CMIP5: Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) HadGEM2-ES model output collection.
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WCRP CMIP5: Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) HadGEM2-A model output collection.
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WCRP CMIP5: Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) HadCM3 model output collection.
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WCRP CMIP5: Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) HadGEM2-CC model output collection.
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WCRP CMIP5: The CNRM-CERFACS team CNRM-CM5 model output collection.The CNRM-CERFACS team consisted of the following agencies: Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques (CNRM) and Centre Europeen de Recherche et Formation Avancees en Calcul Scientifique (CERFACS).
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WCRP CMIP5: The CNRM-CERFACS team CNRM-CM5-2 model output collection.The CNRM-CERFACS team consisted of the following agencies: Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques (CNRM) and Centre Europeen de Recherche et Formation Avancees en Calcul Scientifique (CERFACS).
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WCRP CMIP5: Norwegian Climate Centre (NCC) NorESM1-M model output collection.
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WCRP CMIP5: Norwegian Climate Centre (NCC) NorESM1-ME model output collection.
NERC Data Catalogue Service