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UKCP09: Climate change projections of storm surge trend for UK waters

The UKCP09 marine & coastal storm surge data provides projections of surge height for the linear trend, the 5th and 95th percentiles throughout the 21st Century for 2, 10, 20 and 50 year return period events (including statistical significance) over a 12km coastal grid. Data are available for a medium emissions scenario (IPCC SRES: A1B), to reflect some aspects of the uncertainty in modelling global and regional climate change eleven different variants of the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model HadCM3 were used to drive eleven corresponding variants of the HadRM3 regional model, which in turn drove the National Oceanography Centre storm surge model (POLCS3).

Note: The projections do not cover all plausible future outcomes and unlike some other components of UKCP09, the storm surge height projections are not probabilistic, although a range is provided based on the assumption that the 11 simulations are equally likely.

More information about the storm surge methodology (including assumptions and caveats) are given in Chapter 4 of the UKCP09 Marine & coastal projections report and the technical note on storm projections.

Simple

Date (Publication)
2017-09-05T13:01:51
Date (Creation)
2017-09-05T13:01:51
Identifier
https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/aa448fd749954539afa60e04379f6e5c
Identifier
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) / aa448fd749954539afa60e04379f6e5c
Author
  Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC) - author
Met Office , Exeter ,
Custodian
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - custodian
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
Owner
  Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC) - data_owner
Met Office , Exeter ,
Distributor
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - distributor
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
Principal investigator
  Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) - principal_investigator
Principal investigator
  Environment Agency - principal_investigator
Principal investigator
  Met Office - principal_investigator
Met Office , FitzRoy Road , Exeter , EX1 3PB ,
0370 900 0100
pointofContact
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - point_of_contact
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
pointofContact
  Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC) - point_of_contact
Met Office , Exeter ,
Publisher
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - publisher
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
Maintenance and update frequency
notPlanned Not planned
Update scope
dataset Dataset
Keywords
  • tendency_of_atmosphere_mass_content_of_methyl_chloride_due_to_emission
  • UKCP09
  • UK storm surge
  • climate projections
GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
  • atmospheric conditions
Access constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
Access to these data is available to any registered CEDA user. Please Login or Register for a CEDA account to gain access.
Use constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
Under the following licence http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Spatial representation type
grid Grid
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
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Begin date
1951-01-01T00:00:00
End date
2099-12-31T23:59:59
Unique resource identifier
WGS 84
Distribution format
  • The data are NetCDF formatted and adhere to v1.0 of the CF data conventions. ()

Distributor
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) - Data Center Contact
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
OnLine resource
CEDA Data Catalogue Page

Detail and access information for the resource

OnLine resource
DOWNLOAD

Download Data

OnLine resource
UKCP09 archive overview document

No further details.

OnLine resource
UK climate projections website

No further details.

OnLine resource
Marine and coastal projections

No further details.

OnLine resource
Technical note on storm projections

No further details.

OnLine resource
UKCP09 climate projections review

No further details.

OnLine resource
UKCP09 climate projections response

No further details.

Hierarchy level
dataset Dataset

Conformance result

Date (Publication)
2010-12-08
Statement
Original data were produced by the Met Office as part of the UKCP09 service before preparation for archival with the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA).
File identifier
aa448fd749954539afa60e04379f6e5c XML
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Character set
8-bit variable size UCS Transfer Format, based on ISO/IEC 10646 UTF8
Parent identifier
UKCP09: Land and marine past climate and future scenario projections data for the UK 094d9c9b9dda42c0aa1a1848af9fb56b
Hierarchy level
dataset Dataset
Date stamp
2025-05-09T02:15:53
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version
2.3
Point of contact
  Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)
Rutherford Appleton Laboratory , Harwell , Oxon , OX11 0QX , United Kingdom
01235446432
 
 

Overviews

Spatial extent

N
S
E
W
thumbnail


Keywords

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
atmospheric conditions

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