• NERC Data Catalogue Service
  •  
  •  
  •  

Ranked current and anticipated threats to Scotland from global Phytophthora species

This dataset is a ranked list of risks to Scotland from 196 Phytophthora species, including most of the approximately 240 formally described or provisionally named species in the genus globally. Arrival and establishment risks are scored and joined with information on surveillance of known hosts within inspected premises in Scotland (introduction risks). Potential impacts are scored using information on global Phytophthora-host interactions extracted from a global database of Phytophthora records to identify at risk hosts and score the level of threat to hosts and habitats within Scotland. The ranked list was developed to support prioritisation among future Phytophthora threats to Scotland. All risks were scored by the UKCEH project team, informed by a self-completion survey and two workshops with 15 stakeholders from across Scotland's plant health sector, including forestry, conservation, horticulture, and government agencies. Full details about this dataset can be found at https://doi.org/10.5285/72e8f817-01a6-42d2-b187-a5ebf43853a1

Simple

Date (Publication)
2025-09-19
Identifier
https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/72e8f817-01a6-42d2-b187-a5ebf43853a1
Identifier
doi: / 10.5285/72e8f817-01a6-42d2-b187-a5ebf43853a1
Other citation details
Barwell, L.J., Turvey, K., Amankwaa, G., Asaaga, F., Cooke, D.E.L., Mitchell, R., Purse, B.V. (2025). Ranked current and anticipated threats to Scotland from global Phytophthora species. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre 10.5285/72e8f817-01a6-42d2-b187-a5ebf43853a1
Point of contact
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology - Louise Barwell
Author
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology - Barwell, L.J.
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1643-1046
Author
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology - Turvey, K.
https://orcid.org/0009-0001-2611-3391
Author
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology - Amankwaa, G.
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0334-5867
Author
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology - Asaaga, F.
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2675-9464
Author
  James Hutton Institute - Cooke, D.E.L.
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9154-7954
Author
  James Hutton Institute - Mitchell, R.
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8151-2769
Author
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology - Purse, B.V.
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5140-2710
Owner
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Custodian
  NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
Publisher
  NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
  • Habitats and Biotopes
GEMET - Concepts, version 4.1.3
  • pathogenic organism
  • pest
  • risk assessment
  • exotic species
  • environmental impact
  • forestry
  • habitat
  • biodiversity
Keywords
  • Environmental risk
  • Scotland
Access constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
no limitations
Use constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
This resource is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence
Use constraints
otherRestrictions Other restrictions
Other constraints
If you reuse this data, you should cite: Barwell, L.J., Turvey, K., Amankwaa, G., Asaaga, F., Cooke, D.E.L., Mitchell, R., Purse, B.V. (2025). Ranked current and anticipated threats to Scotland from global Phytophthora species. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre https://doi.org/10.5285/72e8f817-01a6-42d2-b187-a5ebf43853a1
Spatial representation type
textTable Text, table
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Character set
utf8 UTF8
Topic category
  • Environment
N
S
E
W
thumbnail


Unique resource identifier
OSGB 1936 / British National Grid
Distribution format
  • TIFF ()

Distributor
  NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
OnLine resource
Download the data

Download a copy of this data

OnLine resource
Supporting information

Supporting information available to assist in re-use of this dataset

Hierarchy level
dataset Dataset
Other
dataset

Conformance result

Date (Publication)
2010-12-08
Statement
To develop a ranked list of threats to Scotland from Phytophthora species we joined predictions from new models of probability of arrival into the UK through trade (Barwell et al. 2025), and current climate suitability for establishment in 342 pixels (approximately 15x15 km grid) in Scotland (Green et al. 2024). These were integrated with information on Phytophthora distributions, host associations and interceptions extracted from a global database of Phytophthora records. Potential impacts on Scotland's priority plants and habitats were assessed through scoring the number of susceptible host genera on Scotland's Biodiversity List, and within NVC habitats and National Forest Estate Subcompartments in Scotland. Each risk metric was scored from 0 (low risk) to 3 (high risk) and these scores were summed to produce an overall risk score for each Phytophthora species. Some species are missing scores for climate suitability in Scotland (n=37) or UK arrival risk (n=89) due to the absence of data on source regions or thermal tolerance traits to inform the underlying models. The final report (L. J. Barwell, G. Amankwaa, F. Asaaga, K. Turvey, D. E. L. Cooke, R. Mitchell, & B. V. Purse (2025). Improved preparedness for Phytophthora prevention in Scotland: Project Final Report. PHC2023/02. Scotland's Centre of Expertise for Plant Health (PHC). https://www.planthealthcentre.scot/projects/improved-preparedness-Phytophthora-prevention-scotland ) was peer-reviewed by Scotland’s Plant Health Centre. Underlying models of pathogen-specific climate suitability have been evaluated against independent detection data in the UK and Europe where available. Arrival risk models integrating trade flows from source regions and pathogen traits explained up to 78% (61.8, 84.6) of variance in the probability of a new detections since 2005 across Phytophthora species globally. Interceptions and host associations were derived from a global cross-sectoral database compiling information from multiple data providers and sectors to capture the broadest picture possible of Phytophthora host use and prevalence. Where possible, pathologists validated the records and rankings against their knowledge of pathogen behaviour. However, users of the list should be mindful that not all Phytophthora species are included in the ranking presented here due to lack of knowledge on their distributions and hosts, and that a considerable proportion of global Phytophthora diversity may be unknown to science. Some of the most impactful Phytophthora species were only described after their emergence in regions that were likely outside of their native range and with unknown source regions. Moreover, quantitative metrics capturing the severity of interactions (e.g. pathogenicity) between Phytophthora species and their hosts are only available for a fraction of the host-pathogen interactions captured in our data and are not considered within the qualitative ranking presented here.
File identifier
72e8f817-01a6-42d2-b187-a5ebf43853a1 XML
Metadata language
EnglishEnglish
Character set
ISO/IEC 8859-1 (also known as Latin 1) 8859 Part 1
Hierarchy level
dataset Dataset
Hierarchy level name
dataset
Date stamp
2026-02-06T09:49:50
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version
2.3
Point of contact
  NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
Lancaster Environment Centre, Library Avenue, Bailrigg , Lancaster , LA1 4AP , UK
https://eidc.ac.uk/
 
 

Overviews

Spatial extent

N
S
E
W
thumbnail


Keywords

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
Habitats and Biotopes

Provided by

logo

Share on social sites

Access to the portal
Read here the full details and access to the data.

Associated resources

Not available


  •  
  •  
  •