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Fuzzy changepoint application to evaluate numerical model ability to capture important shifts in environmental time series

This application is an implementation of a Fuzzy changepoint based approach to evaluate how well numerical models capture local scale temporal shifts in environmental time series. A changepoint in a time series represents a change in the statistical properties of the time series (either mean, variance or mean and variance in this case). These can often represent important local events of interest that numerical models should accurately capture. The application detects the locations of changepoints in two time series (typically one representing observations and one representing a model simulation) and estimates uncertainty on the changepoint locations using a bootstrap approach. The changepoint locations and associated confidence intervals are then converted to fuzzy numbers and fuzzy logic is used to evaluate how well the timing of any changepoints agree between the time series. The app returns individual similarity scores for each changepoint with higher scores representing a better performance of the numerical model at capturing local scale temporal changes seen in the observed record.

To use this application, the user will upload a csv file containing the two time series to be compared.

This work was supported by Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) Data Science for the Natural Environment (DSNE) project (EP/R01860X/1) and the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) as part the UK-SCAPE programme (NE/R016429/1). Full details about this application can be found at https://doi.org/10.5285/49d04d55-90a7-4106-b8fe-2e75aba228e4

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Metadata Language
English (en)
Character set
utf8
Dataset Reference Date ()
2021-03-01
Dataset Reference Date ()
2021-02-26
Identifier
https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/49d04d55-90a7-4106-b8fe-2e75aba228e4
Identifier
doi: / 10.5285/49d04d55-90a7-4106-b8fe-2e75aba228e4
Other citation details
Hollaway, M.J. (2021). Fuzzy changepoint application to evaluate numerical model ability to capture important shifts in environmental time series. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre 10.5285/49d04d55-90a7-4106-b8fe-2e75aba228e4
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology - Dr Michael Hollaway
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology - Hollaway, M.J.
  NERC Environmental Information Data Centre
  NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
  UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Keywords
  • Changepoints
  • Fuzzy logic
  • Data science
  • Uncertainty
  • Evaluation framework
  • Data analytics
  • UK Status, Change and Projections of the Environment
  • UK-SCAPE
Limitations on Public Access
otherRestrictions
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no limitations
Use constraints
otherRestrictions
Other constraints
This resource is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence
Use constraints
otherRestrictions
Other constraints
If you reuse this data, you should cite: Hollaway, M.J. (2021). Fuzzy changepoint application to evaluate numerical model ability to capture important shifts in environmental time series. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre https://doi.org/10.5285/49d04d55-90a7-4106-b8fe-2e75aba228e4
Topic category
  • Environment
 

Distribution Information

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  • R ()

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application
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application

Report

Dataset Reference Date ()
2010-12-08
Statement
This application comprises the source code of an R Shiny app (app.R) that implements the method described in https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.104993. The application also provides access to the standalone functions used to execute the analysis (Fuzzy_CPT_functions.R). It can be run on any machine with R and the required packages installed. It has been tested up to R version 3.6.1 with more testing information and package dependencies found in Session_info.txt.

Metadata

File identifier
49d04d55-90a7-4106-b8fe-2e75aba228e4 XML
Metadata Language
English (en)
Character set
ISO/IEC 8859-1 (also known as Latin 1)
Resource type
application
Hierarchy level name
application
Metadata Date
2023-02-09T11:09:54
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version
2.3
  Environmental Information Data Centre
Lancaster Environment Centre, Library Avenue, Bailrigg , Lancaster , LA1 4AP , UK
 
 

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