Data for Figure 10.20 from Chapter 10 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Figure 10.20 shows aspects of Mediterranean summer warming.

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How to cite this dataset

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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:

Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A.A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W.J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B.L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T.S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, and Z. Zuo, 2021: Linking Global to Regional Climate Change. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1363–1512, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.012.

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Figure subpanels

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The figure has 7 subpanels. Data for subpanels d, e, f and g is provided.

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List of data provided

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The data is annual summer (JJA) means for:

- Observed trends over 1960-2014

- Anomalies 1960-2014 with respect to 1995-2014 average for the Mediterranean mean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N)

- Trends 1960-2014 for the Mediterranean mean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N)

- Modelled trend differences to the observed over 1960-2014

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Data provided in relation to figure

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Panel (d):

- Data file: Fig_10_20_panel-d_mapplot_tas_obs_trend_single_single_trend.nc;

JJA Berkeley Earth surface air temperature OLS linear trends over 1960-2014 over the Mediterranean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N)

Panel (e):

- Data file: Fig_10_20_panel-e_timeseries.csv;

Observed and modelled JJA surface air temperature anomalies 1960-2014 (baseline 1995-2014) for the Mediterranean mean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N): CMIP5 (blue), CMIP6 (red), HighResMIP (orange), CORDEX EUR-44 (light blue), CORDEX EUR-11 (green), Berkeley Earth (dark blue), CRU TS (brown), HadCRUT5 (cyan)

Panel (f):

- Data file: Fig_10_20_panel-f_trends.csv;

JJA OLS linear trends in surface air temperature 1960-2014 for the Mediterranean mean (lon: 10°W-40°E, lat: 25°N-50°N) of observations (Berkeley Earth, CRU TS, HadCRUT5: black crosses) and models (CMIP5 (blue circles), CMIP6 (red circles), HighResMIP (orange circles), CORDEX EUR-44 (light blue circles), CORDEX EUR-11 (green circles)) and box-and-whisker plots for the SMILEs: MIROC6, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, MPI-ESM, d4PDF (grey shading)

Panel (g):

- Data files:

Fig_10_20_panel-g_mapplot_tas_cmip5_mean_trend_bias_tas_cmip5_maps_trend_MultiModelMean_trend-bias.nc,

Fig_10_20_panel-g_mapplot_tas_cmip6_mean_trend_bias_tas_cmip6_maps_trend_MultiModelMean_trend-bias.nc,

Fig_10_20_panel-g_mapplot_tas_cordex_11_mean_trend_bias_tas_cordex_11_maps_trend_MultiModelMean_trend-bias.nc,

Fig_10_20_panel-g_mapplot_tas_cordex_44_mean_trend_bias_tas_cordex_44_maps_trend_MultiModelMean_trend-bias.nc,

Fig_10_20_panel-g_mapplot_tas_hrmip_mean_trend_bias_tas_hrmip_maps_trend_MultiModelMean_trend-bias.nc;

Modelled OLS linear surface air temperature trend differences to the observed trend (Berkeley Earth) over 1960-2014 of CMIP5, CMIP6, HighResMIP, CORDEX EUR-44, and CORDEX EUR-11 ensemble means

Acronyms:

CMIP - Coupled Model Intercomparison Project,

Cordex – Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment,

CRU TS- Climatic Research Unit Time Series,

CSIRO - Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation,

MIROC - Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate,

SMILEs - single model initial-condition large ensembles,

d4PDF - Database for Policy Decision-Making for Future Climate Change,

OLS - ordinary least squares regression.

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Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data

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The code for ESMValTool is provided.

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Sources of additional information

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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:

- Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

- Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 10)

- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 10, which contains details on the input data used in Table 10.SM.11

- Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo.